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Milwaukee just went up 2-0 on baseball's back-to-back champions, and the Dodgers are running out of room

The Brewers knocked out Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the second inning Monday and beat Los Angeles 7-4 to take a 2-0 NLCS lead. No team in history has come back from 2-0 down in an LCS more than eight times in 59 tries.

Milwaukee just went up 2-0 on baseball's back-to-back champions, and the Dodgers are running out of room

MILWAUKEE, The scoreboard read 7-4 when it was over Monday night, but the number that matters most to Los Angeles isn't on that line. Teams trailing 2-0 in a League Championship Series are 8-51 all-time. Those odds were already brutal before the Brewers did it twice.

Milwaukee continued their strong showing against the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers, winning Game 2 and heading to L.A. with a 2-0 National League Championship Series lead. The Brewers got to the Dodgers and Yoshinobu Yamamoto early on Monday night. That detail is hard to overstate. Yamamoto is the $325 million arm Los Angeles brought in to be their postseason stopper, and he couldn't stop anything in Game 2 before the Brewers chased him.

It happened fast. Milwaukee put runners on, got the big hit, and by the time the Dodgers dugout started squirming, the hole was already deep. The game never really swung back. The final: Brewers 7, Dodgers 4. Milwaukee leads the series 2-0.

This is a rematch of last year's NLCS, where the Dodgers swept the Brewers. Los Angeles has won back-to-back World Series titles and came into this postseason as the heavy favorite in the National League again. The Brewers and Dodgers were the only clubs to reach the 100-win mark in the regular season, and both won their NLDS matchups in four games. So this isn't an underdog story yet. Two elite teams went at each other in Milwaukee, and Milwaukee won both times. Now the series shifts west.

Games 3 and 4 go to Dodger Stadium, starting Wednesday. That's where Los Angeles would theoretically take back control. The crowd will be loud, the lineup will have Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman and the whole expensive machine. But even Dodger Stadium hasn't saved teams from 0-2 holes very often. Teams are historically 8-51 when trailing 2-0 in the League Championship Series. That means the team down 2-0 wins the series less than 14 percent of the time.

The Brewers, meanwhile, are playing with a freedom Los Angeles clearly doesn't feel right now. Manager Pat Murphy's club pushed the defending champs around for two straight games at American Family Field, and the home crowd energy was a genuine factor. Now they go on the road and need only two wins in five games to reach the World Series for the first time since 1982.

In the American League, Monday also brought a result that matters for how October shapes up. The Guardians waited out Rays starter Drew Rasmussen before putting on an offensive clinic against the Tampa Bay bullpen for a 7-3 victory in Game 1 of the ALCS. In the American League, the Guardians took the opener at the home of the Tampa Bay Rays, who led the contest 2-0 but couldn't hold off Cleveland's rally.

Game 1 star Chase DeLauter got the Guardians on the board with a solo shot in the sixth, then had the key hit to get the rally going in the eighth when he doubled Jose Ramirez to third. DeLauter walked in the ninth and came around to score to help seal it. Nathaniel Lowe's 2-run single put the Guardians ahead in the eighth.

While Cleveland owns two World Series titles, its most recent championship came back in 1948. The Tampa Bay Rays swept the Yankees to clinch the first spot in the ALCS and face the Cleveland Guardians, who mounted a stunning comeback against the White Sox after dropping the first two games of the ALDS. Cleveland already proved it can flip a series. Tampa Bay just handled New York. Game 2 of the ALCS goes Tuesday night on TBS.

So both LCS matchups are live, both feature genuine intrigue, and both could be functionally over within 48 hours if the early leaders keep winning. The Dodgers, Brewers, Rays and Guardians have all moved on to the League Championship Series. But only two of those teams are actually ahead right now.

The Dodgers have won 12 consecutive postseason series going back years. They are built for these moments. Their roster is deep, their bullpen is capable, and Ohtani alone changes any game he's in. Manager Dave Roberts has navigated worse situations than this and come out fine.

But none of that changes the math. Through 59 LCS series in history, a team down 2-0 has come back to win exactly eight times. The last team to pull it off was the 2019 Washington Nationals, who rallied from 2-0 down against the Cardinals before going on to win the whole thing. That took an extraordinary run of pitching and clutch hitting. The Dodgers have those things. They also have three games left and a margin for error that shrinks with each loss.

Milwaukee's rotation takes the ball Wednesday. The Dodgers need Freddie Freeman to look like October Freddie Freeman, which he usually does. And Ohtani, whose bat has been electric this postseason, will not be pitching. Los Angeles needs its offense to manufacture something the Brewers haven't given them yet.

Game 3 is Wednesday at Dodger Stadium, airing on FS1. First pitch is set for 5 p.m. Eastern.

Sources