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Milwaukee leads 3-0 and the Dodgers are one loss from going home

The Brewers hammered three home runs off Blake Snell on Wednesday night to take a commanding NLCS lead, putting the two-time defending champions one defeat from elimination and their first World Series in 44 years within reach.

Milwaukee leads 3-0 and the Dodgers are one loss from going home

The first pitch of Wednesday night's game told you everything. Jackson Chourio, 22 years old and playing on a tender right hamstring, stepped in against Blake Snell and sent a 97 mph fastball 391 feet into the Dodger Stadium seats. The crowd of more than 50,000 went quiet before it finished settling in. By the time the night was over, the Milwaukee Brewers had beaten Los Angeles 6-2 and now lead the National League Championship Series three games to none.

One win. That is all that separates the Brewers from their first World Series appearance since 1982.

According to CBS Sports, Chourio's leadoff shot, which left the bat at 106.1 mph and would have cleared the fence in 19 of 30 MLB parks, was also the first home run Snell had surrendered all year, regular season or playoffs, in 46 and a third innings of work. That kind of detail lands differently when you understand what Snell brought into the night: a two-time Cy Young Award winner pitching in front of a desperate home crowd, given a chance to put his team back in a series they were already trailing two games to none.

Snell did what aces do, mostly. After yielding that leadoff bomb, he locked in. He retired 14 consecutive batters at one point, struck out nine on the night, and his fastball averaged 97.3 mph. The Associated Press reported that coming into the seventh, he had retired 14 Brewers in a row. The Dodgers led 2-1 heading into that inning. It felt, briefly, like the kind of start that flips a series.

It did not flip the series.

The seventh inning that finished it

MLB.com noted that Snell entered the seventh having already faced 21 batters, deep into the dangerous third time through the order. Andrew Vaughn drew a seven-pitch walk to open the inning, and pinch-runner Christian Yelich came in to run for him. Then Jake Bauers stepped in.

Bauers battled. Eleven pitches. On the eleventh, he drove a 412-foot shot to right field that turned a 2-1 Dodgers lead into a 3-2 Brewers advantage. ESPN described the reaction from Milwaukee's dugout spilling onto the field. Before the crowd recovered, Garrett Mitchell stepped up and sent a 438-foot ball to right-center. Back-to-back homers. Snell's night was done.

Per the AP, it was the first time in Snell's career that a pair of left-handed batters hit back-to-back homers against him, and only the second time he gave up multiple home runs to left-handed batters in a single game. Yahoo Sports added that together, Bauers and Mitchell hit more home runs off Snell in that one inning than lefties had managed against him in the entire 2026 regular season. Milwaukee added more runs in the eighth and ninth to finish it at 6-2.

Roberts under the microscope

The decision to leave Snell in for the seventh is already the defining question surrounding this series. Roberts explained himself postgame on MLB.com: "I don't think they were seeing him well. I was trying to get him three more hitters. I felt good with where Blake's stuff was at." He acknowledged the leadoff walk to Vaughn was a problem but said Bauers simply "put together a good at-bat."

Dodger Nation laid out other decisions alongside that one: pinch-hitting for Andy Pages, burning Josue De Paula before a pitching change, and leaving a struggling Tommy Edman in the lineup. Clutch Points catalogued fan and analyst reaction that was blunt in its verdict. The Snell decision was the one everyone saw coming and nobody stopped.

Snell's own postgame quote, per The Sporting Tribune: "To give up a leadoff home run to start the game is frustrating, but I'll learn from it."

Roberts, for his part, has at least one historical data point in his back pocket. MLB.com reported that in all best-of-seven postseason series, teams leading 3-0 have won 41 of 42 times, a 98 percent rate, with 32 of those ending in sweeps. The only team to come back from 3-0 and win a series was Roberts' own 2004 Boston Red Sox. He referenced that history directly after the game: "It's certainly possible. I've lived it."

What Milwaukee is chasing

The weight of what the Brewers are doing cannot be overstated without numbers to back it up, so here they are. Wikipedia's record of the 1982 World Series confirms 1982 is the only World Series the Brewers have ever appeared in, a seven-game loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. ESPN notes they advanced to the NLCS in 2018 only to lose to these same Dodgers in seven games, and last year Los Angeles swept them in four.

MLB.com's profile of the franchise points out that this year's Brewers set a franchise record for wins, built on starting pitching with a fifth-ranked 3.64 ERA among starters and a league-best .801 OPS with runners in scoring position. Wednesday's starter Robert Gasser, in ESPN's telling, matched Snell pitch for pitch through five innings in the longest postseason outing of his young career.

CBS Sports flagged a detail specific to Chourio that puts the whole night in sharper relief: on the one-year anniversary of doing the same thing to Yoshinobu Yamamoto in last year's NLCS, he did it again to Snell, on the first pitch, in the same building. That time, the Brewers lost. This time, they went home with a 3-0 lead and Tyler Glasnow scheduled to start Game 4 for Los Angeles on Thursday night.

Sources