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The Chicago White Sox are one win from the ALCS, and nobody saw this coming

Two years after losing 121 games, Chicago has swept the Astros in the Wild Card and gone up 2-0 on Cleveland, and now Game 3 at Rate Field could send them to the AL Championship Series for the first time since 2005.

The White Sox are one win away from their first ALCS trip in 21 years

Two Octobers ago, the Chicago White Sox lost their 121st game of the season. On Wednesday afternoon at Rate Field, they play Game 3 of the American League Division Series with a chance to clinch a trip to the AL Championship Series. The gap between those two sentences is one of the more disorienting things in recent baseball history.

Just two years removed from a 121-loss season, the White Sox finished off the Houston Astros in the Wild Card round to secure their first postseason series win since 2005, a drought exceeded in MLB by only the Cincinnati Reds. Then they went to Cleveland and did it again.

The White Sox erupted for three runs in the sixth inning to stun the Cleveland Guardians 4-3 on Monday, taking a 2-0 lead in the American League Division Series. The No. 2-seeded Guardians entered that game as 1.5-point favorites over the No. 6 White Sox, but fell at home once again with a decisive Game 3 coming up on the road.

Game 1 at Progressive Field set the tone. Munetaka Murakami hit a two-run homer, five Chicago pitchers combined for a three-hitter, and the White Sox beat Cleveland 3-0. Game 2 was messier but the result was the same. White Sox starter Gavin Williams was dominant through his outing, but Chicago's offense came through when it needed to. Cleveland has scored just three runs on seven hits through the first two games of the ALDS, recording only three hits in Game 1 and four hits in Game 2.

The Guardians now face elimination in Game 3 at Rate Field after dropping the first two games at Progressive Field. Another loss would end Cleveland's season and send Chicago to the AL Championship Series.

The pitching matchup Wednesday favors caution over confidence. Cleveland sends RHP Daniel Espino to the mound, while Chicago counters with LHP Sean Newcomb, who posted a 6.00 ERA in his postseason start. The White Sox beat Newcomb's shaky number in Game 2 anyway, and their lineup has not stopped producing.

Chicago became the first team in MLB history to clinch the playoffs after three straight seasons with 100-plus losses. That alone would be the story of the year in most seasons. But they did not just sneak in. A two-decade playoff drought is over, snapped by a team so young it doesn't seem to know the ceiling for a club one year removed from a third-straight 100-loss season isn't supposed to be this high.

The franchise's last trip to the ALCS was 2005, the year they swept the Los Angeles Angels and then swept the Houston Astros in the World Series. The last time Chicago clinched a playoff series before this run, on Oct. 26, 2005, it was in the same ballpark, then called Minute Maid Park, also against the Astros, and it ended with owner Jerry Reinsdorf celebrating with his team in the aftermath. Now a completely different generation of White Sox is three outs from putting 2005 in the rearview for the next round, too.

Despite these improvements, Chicago lost their American League Central division lead they held much of the 2026 season in late September to the Guardians, which also prevented them from having a first-round bye. That slight became motivation. The Sox entered the Wild Card as the six seed, beat Houston in two straight, and now lead the two seed.

The situation in the rest of Wednesday's playoff schedule is worth watching as well. The Tampa Bay Rays, who lead the Yankees 2-0 in their ALDS, play Game 3 at Yankee Stadium at 8 p.m. ET on TBS/TruTV. In Game 1, Drew Rasmussen carried a no-hit bid through 7 2/3 innings as Tampa Bay beat New York 1-0 behind a Jonathan Aranda home run off Gerrit Cole. Max Fried gets the ball for New York in Game 3. The Yankees are the home favorite but their season is on the line.

In the NL, the Dodgers and Braves play a decisive Game 4 in Atlanta at 6 p.m. ET after Los Angeles took Games 1 and 3 and Atlanta won Game 2. And in the NFL, the injury watch around Baltimore sharpened this week. According to NFL Media, Lamar Jackson is dealing with an ankle sprain that gives him only an 'outside chance' to play in Week 5 against the Atlanta Falcons. Jackson could miss multiple games depending on how his rehabilitation progresses, though the injury is not considered long-term or surgical. He got his ankle rolled up on the Ravens' final play of the first half during last week's win over the Tennessee Titans and did not return. If Jackson cannot suit up, Baltimore will turn to backup Tyler Huntley.

Back in Chicago, the 4 p.m. first pitch comes with the South Side knowing exactly what is at stake. Rate Field will be loud. The Guardians will be desperate. And the White Sox, who genuinely had no business being here according to every projection from March, will take the field as the team trying to close it out at home.

Braden Montgomery, who doubled in two runs in the sixth inning of Game 2, singled in the go-ahead run. His name wasn't in anyone's ALDS preview a week ago.

Sources