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As Robotaxis Head to D.C., a New Report Asks Whether the Power Grid Is Ready

A new white paper warns the District should weigh the strain of commercial autonomous EV fleets on an already stressed grid, and shield ratepayers from the cost, before approving them.

Washington is on track to become one of the first American cities with driverless taxis on its streets. Before that happens, a new report argues the District needs to answer a less glamorous question: can the power grid handle them, and who pays if it cannot?

Waymo has said it plans to bring its robotaxi service to Washington in 2026, and the city's Department of Transportation has been building a permitting framework for autonomous vehicles. District law still requires a human safety driver, so the rules are very much being written right now. That timing is the whole point, according to a white paper from Dr. Shih-Hsien Chuang, an economist and assistant chair at the Booth School of Business at Northwest Missouri State University.

Chuang's case is that a commercial fleet of autonomous electric vehicles would arrive on a regional grid that is already under real strain. He points to a temporary emergency order the U.S. Department of Energy issued from October 13 to 16 to head off blackouts across the Mid-Atlantic, during a stretch of near-record October heat that collided with roughly 65 gigawatts of generation being offline for maintenance. By his count it was at least the fourth such order in 2026, and he reads it as a warning light rather than a footnote.

The pressure, he writes, is coming from more than cars. Pepco sits inside PJM Interconnection, the grid operator for 13 states and the District, and the system's net energy load is projected to climb about 5.3 percent a year over the next decade, driven in large part by the explosion of data centers. A sudden new source of demand from a depot full of robotaxis, he argues, is exactly the kind of thing that should be studied before it shows up, not after.

Charging is the other gap. Citing federal figures, the paper counts roughly 1,083 public and 284 private charging ports in the District, most of them built for personal cars rather than a centralized commercial fleet. Serving dozens or hundreds of autonomous EVs out of a single location, Chuang writes, could require new transformers, feeder reinforcement, service upgrades and substation work. He is blunt about who should not be stuck with the bill.

"At the height of an affordability crisis, D.C. residents and businesses cannot be on the hook for the cost of expensive investments necessary to accommodate for-profit businesses," he said in the report.

His recommendation is not to slam the door on the technology. It is to do the homework first: bring the District and its utilities to the table before any approval, estimate how much electricity a fleet would actually draw, and decide up front that ratepayers will not quietly subsidize the infrastructure a private operator needs.

"Responsible governance demands that the District and its energy providers be active participants in this process before the D.C. government makes any decisions that could compromise grid reliability or raise rates for residents," Chuang said.

The report lands as electricity bills keep climbing and as the city decides, permit by permit, how quickly to let the driverless era arrive.